After the first 3 races of the season, Formula 1 heads to Europe. So far
the results have been a bit of a surprise but so have the races. One cannot
yet claim that the new rules have caused the unpredictability as in Australia
and Brazil there was a wet track and in Malaysia there was a first corner
accident. Eventually things will start to settle down and we'll get to see a
race run under dry conditions and a clean start, lets hope San Marino will
offer that.
Another contributing factor to the results are the tyres. Since their debut,
the Michelin tyres have proven to be better in the heat while the Bridgestones
were more suited to the milder temperatures of Europe. If that remains the
case this season, then expect the Bridgestone runners to show more pace.
It is far too early to predict the outcome of either championship. It is
true that McLaren have a 16 point lead over Renault (yes they are in second!)
but all it takes is a race or two for McLaren to stumble and they'll be
caught. The same applies to the Drivers' Championship.
What is going for McLaren though is a great start to the season that gives
them a huge boost which will help them moving forward. This also puts less
pressure on them to bring out their new car in a hurry unlike Ferrari whom
must be feeling tremendous pressure to get their 2003 contender racing as soon
as possible especially if they struggle at Imola.
The Brazilian Grand Prix, was simply a bizarre race, the one that we get to
see once every few seasons. Given the circumstances, one cannot give reasons
to why things happened the way they did apart from stating that the
regulations concerning limiting the teams to a single wet weather tyre type is
simply short sighted and dangerous.
All 6 teams that opted for full testing this season were testing at various
tracks. At Paul Ricard, McLaren, Williams, BAR and Toyota were present with
McLaren yet again setting the fastest times despite the mainly wet conditions.
Ferrari were testing at Mugello with the 2003 car and at Fiorano with the
F2002 while Sauber opted for a test session at Monza.
McLaren: They finished 2nd and 4th in Brazil. They are fast and
reliable and are the main threat to Ferrari. Reliability 9/10 - Speed 9.0/10
Drivers: Kimi Raikkonen won the Brazilian GP while running second
then the FIA decided that he did indeed finish second. Regardless, he drove a
superb race at Interlagos and continues to prove that he a champion in the
making. If the Michelins are good here don't discount a win.
David Coulthard could have won the Brazilian GP if his pit stop
was 2 laps later than scheduled. It wasn't meant to be and perhaps 4th was
what he deserved. He need to match Raikkonen if he is to challenge for the
championship. Podium possible but hard.
Renault: They didn't expect to be second in the championship
after three races and they'll tell you that they don't expect to hold onto
it. I agree that whilst they may not finish second this season, third is
looking very good. All they really need is an engine that is as reliable
but with a bit more power and they say it is coming in time for Monaco. In
the meantime, they seem to have a superior braking system (in addition to
their superior traction control) and that will help tremendously
here.
Reliability 9.5/10 - Speed 8.5/10
Drivers: Fernando Alonso is third in the championship and already
with 2 podium finishes. It might be hard for him to repeat that in Imola
but who thought he would do that in Brazil!. He appears to have recovered
fully from his huge crash in Brazil and he's very young and so it probably
won't affect him at all. Top 6 is likely. Podium if another top team
struggles.
Jarno Trulli once again finished in the points. He needs to
push harder (plus some luck) if he is to match Alonso. A top 6 finish is
possible.
Ferrari: They are under pressure to get results. Being equal
third with Williams isn't acceptable for the World Champions and the
apparent problems with the new car isn't helping. They'll be hoping that
Bridgestone will preform better at Imola and if that is the case they
could still dominate.
Reliability 9.0/10 - Speed 9.0/10
Drivers: Michael Schumacher will be hoping to win at Ferrari's home
GP in an effort to close the gap to the current championship leader Kimi
Raikkonen. Not only will he need good rubber but also to drive as Michael
used to drive - flawlessly.
Rubens Barrichello yet again ran out of luck (and fuel) at his
home race. One wonders what Rubens has to do to even finish a race there.
Imola should be a different story and he could win.
Williams: They weren't strong n Brazil but that may be due to
the conditions. So far though they haven't been strong this season and
Imola could highlight that even more. Reliability
9/10 - Speed 8.5/10
Drivers:
Juan Pablo Montoya spun out in Brazil after a superb first few laps.
He needs to start finishing races if he is to compete at the top. A top 6
finish is likely.
Ralf Schumacher continues to be there when the others fall. That may
be a good strategy to score points but it isn't the way to win championships. A
top 8 finish is likely.
Jordan: They didn't expect to win in Brazil and had the race run to
its entirety they would have more likely finished second or third. That is
not to take away anything from Fisichella's superb drive. They are just
not fast enough.
Reliability 6.5/10 - Speed 7.5/10
Drivers: Giancarlo Fisichella scored his first Formula 1 win in his
career. I wonder how many more points he will score this season. Points at
Imola will be hard.
Ralph Firman suffered a suspension failure that took him out as well as
Olivier Panis in the Toyota. We haven't seen much from Firman that
impresses but perhaps it is too early to judge him. It will be good for
him to finish.
Sauber: Scored some more points in Brazil and that is good for the
team. They usually have excellent reliability but so far they've had 2
retirements due to mechanical failure from 3 races and that isn't a good
sign. Reliability 8.0/10 - Speed 8.0/10
Drivers: Heinz Harald Frentzen scored 4 points in Brazil and that
was a good result. If Imola turns out to be a dry and clean race then
Frentzen will find it hard to score points.
Nick Heidfeld suffered an engine problem in Brazil and that wasn't
expected. Points will be hard to get at Imola.
BAR: Recent testing shows the Honda engine delivering power for
a fair number of laps. The question is whether that will be the case
during the race.
Reliability 8.0/10 - Speed 8.0/10
Drivers: Jacques Villeneuve scored his first points of the
season in Brazil. He drove what appeared to be a conservative race at the
start but picked up the pace when the track started drying. The race stopped
before he could prove much though. He has been strong in Imola and if his
Honda engine lasts he could manage a point or two.
Jenson Button may have lost the slight edge he had over his
team-mate by spinning off the track in Brazil. He needs to get over that
quickly. A top 8 finish is possible but hard.
Jaguar: Thought they'd scored their first points of the season in
Brazil only for the FIA to re-classify the race and end up with no points
again. Their cars appeared reliable however the race didn't go the full
distance.
Reliability 7.0/10 - Speed 7.5/10
Drivers: Mark Webber drove a good race until he spun. It is still
unclear what caused his spin but he was lucky to get out of it unscathed.
If the car is reliable, he may have a chance at challenging for 7th or
8th.
Antonio Pizzonia had yet another retirement. This time though it
was his fault. There is talk already about a replacement and given Jaguar's
history that isn't surprising. He needs to get his act together and pray for
some luck here!.
Toyota: They have yet to prove they are getting competitive
over a race distance. We've seen signs of brilliance but not any more.
Reliability 8/10 -
Speed 7.5/10
Drivers: Olivier Panis is certainly the unluckiest driver so far
this season. Three retirements none of which were of his own making. Perhaps
Imola will be a turning point. Still points will be hard!.
Cristiano da Matta is finishing races but isn't fast. Is that due
to himself or his car ? Probably a bit of both. He'll probably finish outside
the points.
Minardi: The events in Brazil should have given Minardi an
excellent chance of scoring points yet both of their drivers spin out.
Must have been very disappointing for Paul Stoddart.
Reliability 7.5/10 - Speed 7.0/10
Drivers: Jos Verstappen is know to be good in the wet. Spinning
out must have been embarrassing. He'll need to work very hard to make that
up. In a Minardi it may be impossible. A finish outside the points is
likely
Justin Wilson would have been excused for his spin given his lack
of experience. Unlike Webber and Alonso, Wilson is competing with a strong
driver and he'll have to work real hard to impress other teams if he is to
progress his career. A finish outside the points is likely
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